Envigado vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
ENV
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 1
PAT
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 2
ENV
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 1
AGU
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
ENV
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 1
ONC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
4 - 2
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAS
4 - 1
MIL
39%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
ONC
2 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 0
PAS
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |