Envigado vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
ENV
0 - 1
JUN
31%
28%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 2
CAL
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
ENV
0 - 2
AGU
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
ENV
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 2
IND
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
EQU
1 - 1
MIL
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
ONC
2 - 3
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
SFE
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |