Envigado vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 0
ENV
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
ENV
1 - 0
QUI
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
IND
1 - 2
ENV
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ENV
0 - 1
UNI
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
ENV
1 - 1
CAL
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MIL
0 - 0
ONC
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 2
SFE
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 2
MIL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
MIL
2 - 0
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
PAS
1 - 3
MIL
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |