Envigado vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
43.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
ENV
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 0
BUC
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SFE
2 - 0
ENV
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 2
IND
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAL
4 - 2
ENV
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
MIL
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOL
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 0
ALI
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AME
3 - 0
TOL
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
JAG
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |