Envigado vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
ENV
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ENV
2 - 3
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
ENV
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ENV
0 - 1
IND
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 1
ENV
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 2
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TOL
4 - 2
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |