Envigado vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
ENV
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
ENV
2 - 0
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 0
ENV
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
JUN
0 - 1
ENV
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
ENV
1 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
ENV
2 - 0
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
NAC
26%
27%
48%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 1
JUN
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |