Ardziv vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
68.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
IST
4 - 1
EUA
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
EUA
0 - 1
LPV
18%
22%
61%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
EUA
2 - 2
CBL
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
GEM
5 - 0
EUA
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EUA
2 - 1
ILE
63%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
IST
1 - 0
NIC
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 0
CON
8%
16%
76%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CBL
0 - 1
NIC
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 2
AUB
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GEM
1 - 1
NIC
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |