Ardziv vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
36
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
4 - 3
EUA
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
EUA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 0
SCR
25%
21%
55%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
EUA
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
IST
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
RSV
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AJA
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |