Ardziv vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
64.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
EUA
92%
6%
2%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
EUA
1 - 0
AUB
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +4 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
EUA
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
EUA
1 - 3
VIL
10%
16%
75%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EUA
1 - 3
NIC
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 1
IST
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CBL
2 - 1
AJA
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 1
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
AJA
4 - 2
ILE
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LUC
1 - 1
AJA
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |