Energie Cottbus U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
4º
4º
14
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Energie Cottbus U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 4
COT
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SCP
6 - 2
COT
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COT
1 - 3
NUR
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
COT
1 - 1
LEI
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 2
COT
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
6 - 1
HER
15%
17%
69%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 5
ERA
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
1 - 1
HAN
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
2 - 2
RWE
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TBB
2 - 2
ERA
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |