Mingachevir FK vs Sumqayıt II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
13º
14º
22
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mingachevir FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 0
ENE
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ENE
2 - 4
FFK
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 6
ENE
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ENE
0 - 4
QAR
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ZAQ
2 - 1
ENE
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sumqayıt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MOI
1 - 3
FKS
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 0
FKS
77%
15%
7%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
FKS
2 - 3
FKQ
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 0
FKS
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 0
ZIK
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |