Encamp vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Encamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
6 - 0
FCE
76%
16%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCE
3 - 0
FCO
39%
23%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UES
6 - 0
FCE
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCE
1 - 5
SCO
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SJU
2 - 0
FCE
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
5 - 0
PEN
76%
17%
8%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
LUS
17%
20%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
SJU
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCO
0 - 2
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
UEE
47%
21%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |