Encamp II vs Principat II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Encamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FCR
5 - 3
ENC
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FCS
6 - 2
ENC
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ENC
0 - 3
LAM
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 0
ENC
55%
20%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ENC
0 - 1
SCO
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Principat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 4
FCO
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCR
5 - 4
PRI
43%
21%
35%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PRI
4 - 2
FCS
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +5 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAM
1 - 1
PRI
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PRI
5 - 3
CAS
25%
21%
55%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |