Emulation vs Tartane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ESS
4 - 1
EMU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
EMU
0 - 0
GOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
AIG
2 - 2
EMU
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
EMU
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EMU
1 - 1
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tartane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 5
SAM
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
USR
1 - 1
TAR
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 9
GOL
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CLU
6 - 1
TAR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 1
BEL
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |