Emulation vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GOL
1 - 0
EMU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EMU
0 - 1
AIG
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 3
EMU
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
EMU
1 - 2
CLU
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 6
EMU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 3
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
GOO
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
SDE
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CLU
8 - 0
EXC
57%
24%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 7
GOL
48%
26%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |