Emulation vs Eucalyptus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESS
1 - 1
EMU
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EMU
1 - 1
RCS
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 2
EMU
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +4 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
EMU
1 - 1
CLU
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -4 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RCR
1 - 2
EMU
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Eucalyptus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
EUC
3 - 2
GOO
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 3
EUC
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EUC
2 - 0
CAS
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +8 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
EUC
1 - 0
ESS
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -8 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RCS
2 - 1
EUC
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |