Emulation vs Case-Pilote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
USR
3 - 2
EMU
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
EMU
1 - 1
ASG
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EBP
1 - 0
EMU
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CLU
0 - 0
EMU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
EMU
1 - 1
ESS
43%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASG
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESS
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
CLU
3 - 0
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EBP
3 - 0
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
AIG
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |