Emulation vs Belimois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RCR
3 - 2
EMU
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EMU
1 - 1
USM
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CLU
3 - 1
EMU
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
RCR
7 - 1
EMU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
EMU
1 - 1
GOL
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Belimois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 10
SAM
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
USR
6 - 0
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 8
GOL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
GOO
1 - 3
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 2
USR
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |