Emulation vs Aiglon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
CLU
2 - 0
EMU
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
EMU
1 - 2
GOL
41%
27%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CLU
5 - 0
EMU
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
RCS
2 - 3
EMU
47%
23%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
EMU
3 - 2
ASP
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
AIG
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ESS
0 - 2
AIG
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
AIG
2 - 1
RCL
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CLU
1 - 0
AIG
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
AIG
2 - 0
USR
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |