EMÜ vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMÜ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
SJK
1 - 3
EMU
30%
24%
47%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 3
EMU
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
EMU
0 - 5
FLO
17%
22%
61%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TJK
0 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
RAK
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
FLO
0 - 3
AJA
37%
25%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
9 - 0
JAR
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 1
LEV
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |