Emu Plains vs Stanmore Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
58.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stanmore Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
QHS
1 - 12
SHF
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |