Empoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
NUO
1 - 0
EMP
24%
27%
50%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
EMP
1 - 1
SAL
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ACD
2 - 0
EMP
24%
26%
51%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EMP
2 - 1
ASC
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
USC
1 - 0
EMP
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
LIV
0 - 2
PES
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
LIV
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LIV
0 - 2
BEN
14%
24%
63%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 0
LIV
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
USC
0 - 0
LIV
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |