Empire vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EGF
2 - 0
ORO
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
EGF
2 - 4
ORO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
HOP
1 - 2
EGF
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 1
EGF
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
EGF
2 - 0
VIR
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAP
1 - 0
TRY
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 4
SAP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
SAP
1 - 1
PBU
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 0
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAP
0 - 1
ORO
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |