Empire vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
ORO
2 - 2
EGF
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
EGF
1 - 4
HOP
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
EGF
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PBU
2 - 0
EGF
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
EGF
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PBU
0 - 0
SAP
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ORO
2 - 2
SAP
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 1
VIR
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 5
SAP
48%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
CON
7 - 2
SAP
79%
15%
6%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |