Emmenbrücke vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
15º
9º
53
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
4 - 1
EMM
46%
21%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 2
CHA
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
4 - 3
EMM
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EMM
0 - 6
ZUG
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IBA
1 - 3
EMM
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 0
GOL
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
BRU
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
2 - 0
FCS
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
BUO
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
FCS
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |