Emmen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
JUT
0 - 1
FCE
20%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
FCE
2 - 0
BOS
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
FCE
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
FCE
7 - 1
MVV
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 0
FCE
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
PSV
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCD
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
0 - 5
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |