Emmen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
ZWO
3 - 1
FCE
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
FCE
2 - 0
FCO
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
HEL
1 - 1
FCE
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BVV
1 - 2
FCE
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2002 |
FCE
2 - 1
HFC
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
RBC
3 - 0
EXC
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
HFC
3 - 0
EXC
20%
22%
59%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 0
BVO
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |