EMF de Carabaña vs Villalbilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
72.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.8%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
6%
2-5
2.3%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMF de Carabaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ORU
6 - 5
CAR
81%
11%
8%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SBM
2 - 5
CAR
53%
19%
29%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
VIL
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 1
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 2
CAR
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villalbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CFV
4 - 2
LME
38%
21%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DAR
5 - 2
CFV
37%
20%
43%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
LPT
0 - 6
CFV
21%
18%
61%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CFV
2 - 3
LME
56%
19%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
DAR
6 - 2
CFV
33%
20%
47%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |