Emérita Augusta vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CDD
3 - 0
EME
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
EME
5 - 1
PIO
41%
22%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MIA
2 - 1
EME
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
EME
5 - 1
MAL
21%
22%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SJO
1 - 1
EME
67%
17%
17%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PUL
1 - 1
CHI
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CDD
8 - 2
PUL
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PUL
1 - 3
TAL
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PIO
1 - 0
PUL
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PUL
1 - 5
MOR
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |