Copa Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-7
CS Emelec vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
EME
2 - 0
CUE
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
4 - 0
EME
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
EME
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
MAC
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
EME
4 - 0
HUA
63%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 6
UCO
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
4 - 0
EME
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |