Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
CS Emelec vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 0
EME
58%
22%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
EME
2 - 0
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
GRE
4 - 1
EME
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 1
EME
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 2
EME
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1995 |
SPC
6 - 3
CFC
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
CFC
2 - 2
SPC
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
SPC
7 - 0
JWI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |