CS Emelec vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
52%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
EME
2 - 0
CUN
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
EME
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
UCE
1 - 1
EME
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
EME
2 - 2
DEL
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 1
MUS
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MUS
1 - 1
UCE
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
CUE
1 - 0
MUS
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
MUS
0 - 5
BSC
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
DEL
3 - 1
MUS
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |