CS Emelec vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EME
4 - 1
MAN
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 2
EME
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
UCE
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 1
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 3
LEO
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 2
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |