CS Emelec vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOJ
0 - 2
EME
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
EME
4 - 0
ESP
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 0
EME
32%
29%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
EME
1 - 1
BSC
56%
26%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
OLM
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
IVT
0 - 1
QUI
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LOJ
0 - 1
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 0
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |