Primera A Finals Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EME
6 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
EME
2 - 0
LIG
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 1
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
BSC
0 - 3
EME
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 3
MAC
13%
25%
62%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |