CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
BSC
1 - 0
EME
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
EME
34%
25%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
EME
1 - 1
DEL
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEL
2 - 1
EME
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
EME
3 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
DEL
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 2
LIG
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |