CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
EME
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
DEL
0 - 2
EME
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
EME
4 - 2
DEL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
EME
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EME
2 - 0
RIV
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 3
IVT
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 0
MAC
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
TAC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BSC
0 - 1
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
IVT
39%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |