CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
LIG
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 2
EME
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CUE
1 - 0
EME
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
EME
2 - 1
TEC
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 4
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
BSC
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
CUE
0 - 0
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LOJ
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |