CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CUE
0 - 0
EME
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
EME
3 - 2
AUC
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
AUC
0 - 1
EME
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
EME
0 - 0
CUE
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
EME
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
QUI
3 - 1
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUE
37%
29%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 2
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
EME
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |