CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
OLM
2 - 0
EME
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
EME
0 - 0
QUI
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
QUI
2 - 1
EME
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
EME
2 - 1
OLM
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 2
EME
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 2
AUC
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIG
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 2
EME
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |