CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
QUI
7 - 1
EME
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
EME
3 - 1
CUE
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 1
EME
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
EME
1 - 0
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
EME
2 - 3
BSC
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
LIG
2 - 2
MAC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 5
OLM
35%
28%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
QUI
3 - 2
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
32%
29%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |