CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
AUC
2 - 0
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
EME
0 - 1
CUE
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
EME
4 - 1
QUI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
EME
2 - 2
BSC
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 3
NAC
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
OLM
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AUC
3 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 6
LIG
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |