Primera A Finals Final
Global 2-4
CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 1
EME
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
EME
4 - 0
MAN
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 2
EME
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EME
2 - 0
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 1
EME
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 1
EME
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CUE
1 - 1
IVT
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 2
EME
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 2
IVT
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
IVT
5 - 0
OLM
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |