CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 4
EME
13%
23%
65%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 2
EME
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EME
3 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 1
EME
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EME
3 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 0
BSC
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
DEL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
IVT
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
4 - 0
RIV
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |