CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BSC
2 - 0
EME
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
DEP
66%
21%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
EME
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
LOJ
57%
24%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 5
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
UCE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CUE
2 - 1
IVT
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 2
LIG
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |