CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
EME
1 - 0
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EME
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 1
EME
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BSC
0 - 0
EME
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EME
1 - 0
IMB
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IVT
2 - 0
OLM
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 6
QUI
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
IVT
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
LIG
2 - 1
IVT
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |