CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IVT
5 - 0
EME
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
EME
1 - 2
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
EME
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EME
0 - 0
QUI
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOJ
0 - 2
EME
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IVT
5 - 0
EME
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 0
IVT
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IVT
3 - 0
OLM
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
IVT
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
IVT
0 - 1
QUI
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |