CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
EME
5 - 1
ESP
55%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
EME
0 - 1
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 2
EME
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 1
OLM
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
IVT
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
IVT
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 1
UCE
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CUE
3 - 0
IVT
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |