CS Emelec vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 2
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
EME
0 - 1
TEC
41%
29%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CUE
0 - 1
EME
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
EME
1 - 1
CAL
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
EME
1 - 1
MAN
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LIG
3 - 1
AUC
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 1
AUC
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |