EMD Aceuchal vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
EMD
48%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EMD
1 - 0
MON
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
EMD
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 1
EMD
13%
20%
68%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
EMD
5 - 2
CPR
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
UDF
3 - 2
GIM
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
UDF
3 - 2
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CPR
4 - 1
UDF
21%
22%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UDF
3 - 0
ORE
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SPH
3 - 1
UDF
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |